a fuzzy modeling approach to weather delays analysis in construction projects

نویسندگان

m.h. sebt

h. rajaei

m.m. pakseresht

چکیده

project participants are becoming more aware of the high costs and risks associated with delay claims and their litigation. among delays, weather delay has an important role in projects performed in severe environmental conditions. this research is the extension of delay analysis techniques by approving analysis of weather delays using fuzzy logic. at the presented technique, first using a fuzzy logic model calculated the delay that occurred during the activity execution after weather event then by the selected delay analysis method (time impact analysis) and using the risk of the contractor during the contract approval together with the effect of previous delay in changing the duration of activities, analyzed weather delays in construction project. a local general contractor and governmental firms involved in a highway construction project practiced by offering their experienced and knowledge in delay analysis procedures to provide data for development and testing of the model specified for rain events. the results indicated that the presented model is in accordance with practical experiences in weather delay duration except in some circumstances that can be divided into the separated parts. it also advances the use of fuzzy logic in delay analysis procedures and becomes it more systematic special for weather delays.

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عنوان ژورنال:
international journal of civil engineering

جلد ۵، شماره ۳، صفحات ۱۶۹-۱۸۱

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